Is the big one coming?

That means we're right on the cusp of a potential Big One. And according to the USGS article above, the next Big One has a 70% chance of occurring before 2030, since we know there is no way to predict the exact timing, it's best to treat this timeline as a very rough estimate and start preparing today.
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Is the big earthquake coming?

Experts have warned for decades that a large swath of the central U.S. is at high risk for a devastating earthquake. March 3, 2022, at 3:41 p.m. ST. LOUIS (AP) — Experts have warned for decades that a large swath of the central U.S. is at high risk for a devastating earthquake.
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Are we overdue for the San Andreas fault?

Parts of the San Andreas fault have not ruptured in over 200 years, meaning it's overdue for a high-magnitude earthquake commonly referred to as "The Big One." Here's what experts say could happen in seconds, hours, and days after the Big One hits the West Coast.
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Where is the big one supposed to hit?

The 'Big One' is a hypothetical earthquake of magnitude ~8 or greater that is expected to happen along the SAF. Such a quake will produce devastation to human civilization within about 50-100 miles of the SAF quake zone, especially in urban areas like Palm Springs, Los Angeles and San Francisco.
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What would happen if the big one hit?

1,800 people will die. 1,600 fires will ignite and most of those will be large fires. 750 people will be trapped inside buildings with complete collapse. 270,000 people will be immediately displaced from their homes.
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SHTF! - TELL Your FAMILY, They JUST WARNED THE BIG ONE IS COMING!! YOU MUST PREP NOW!



What year will the big one hit?

According to USGS there is a 70% chance that one or more quakes of a magnitude 6.7 or larger will occur before the year 2030. Two earthquakes have previously been data-classified as big ones; The San Francisco quake in 1906 with a magnitude of 7.8 and the Fort Tejon quake in 1857 that hit 7.9.
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Is a 10.0 earthquake possible?

No, earthquakes of magnitude 10 or larger cannot happen. The magnitude of an earthquake is related to the length of the fault on which it occurs.
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How long is San Andreas overdue?

California is about 80 years overdue for “The Big One”, the kind of massive earthquake that periodically rocks California as tectonic plates slide past each other along the 800-mile long San Andreas fault.
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Can California fall into the ocean?

No, California is not going to fall into the ocean. California is firmly planted on the top of the earth's crust in a location where it spans two tectonic plates.
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How do you prepare for the big one?

Some ways you can prepare yourself include:
  1. Make or purchase an emergency kit that has supplies for up to three days.
  2. Secure heavy furniture and appliances to the walls or floor.
  3. Get earthquake insurance.
  4. Make a plan with your family about what to do during a natural disaster, including where to meet.
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Is California expecting an earthquake?

The threat of earthquakes extends across the entire San Francisco Bay region, and a major quake is likely before 2032. Knowing this will help people make informed decisions as they continue to prepare for future quakes.
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What are the signs of a big earthquake coming?

A good prediction must indicate when and where an earthquake will take place. Fault segments behave the same way over time. Signs that an earthquakes may occur include foreshocks, ground tilting, water levels in wells, and the relative arrival times of P- and S-waves.
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What does an 8.0 earthquake feel like?

An M 4.0 earthquake could feel like a large truck driving by, while an M 8.0 quake could shake you so much you cannot stand. Usually you will not be able to feel a magnitude 2.5 or lower earthquake.
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Is the New Madrid Fault active?

The zone is active, averaging more than 200 measured seismic events per year. The New Madrid Fault extends approximately 120 miles southward from the area of Charleston, Missouri, and Cairo, Illinois, through Mew Madrid and Caruthersville, following Interstate 55 to Blytheville, then to Marked Tree Arkansas.
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What would happen if the New Madrid fault line went off?

Nearly 200 schools and over 100 fire stations would be damaged; 37 hospitals and 67 police stations would be inoperable the day after the earthquake in the state of Missouri. Thousands of bridges would collapse and railways would be destroyed, paralyzing travel across southeast Missouri.
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Is San Andreas going to happen?

As such, recent predictions limit the possible maximum earthquake magnitude along the San Andreas fault system to 8.0, although with a 7% probability estimate that such an event could occur in Southern California in the next 30 years; over the same period, there is a 75% chance of a magnitude 7.0 event.
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What will happen if the San Andreas fault breaks?

Death and damage

About 1,800 people could die in a hypothetical 7.8 earthquake on the San Andreas fault — that's according to a scenario published by the USGS called the ShakeOut. More than 900 people could die in fires, more than 600 in building damage or collapse, and more than 150 in transportation accidents.
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What is the biggest earthquake ever recorded?

On May 22, 1960 a great Mw 9.5 earthquake, the largest earthquake ever instrumentally recorded, occurred off the coast of southern Chile. This earthquake generated a tsunami that was destructive not only along the coast of Chile, but also across the Pacific in Hawaii, Japan, and the Philippines.
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How long does a 9.0 earthquake last for?

A magnitude 9.0 earthquake can last for five minutes or longer, and the amount of energy released is about 1,000 times greater than that of a 7.0. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the most powerful quakes could leave few if any masonry buildings standing, destroy bridges and toss objects into the air.
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Has there ever been a 9.9 earthquake?

The 1960 Valdivia earthquake and tsunami (Spanish: Terremoto de Valdivia) or the Great Chilean earthquake (Gran terremoto de Chile) on 22 May 1960 was the most powerful earthquake ever recorded. Various studies have placed it at 9.4–9.6 on the moment magnitude scale.
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Is Japan due for a big earthquake?

Government seismologists predicted in 2018 that there's a 70 percent chance an eight- to nine-magnitude quake would rock Japan within the next 30 years, with intensities comparable to that of the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami, which killed nearly a quarter of a million people.
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Can the San Andreas Fault cause a 9.0 earthquake?

No. Magnitude 9 earthquakes only occur on subduction zones. As stated above, there hasn't been an active subduction zone under San Francisco or Los Angeles for millions of years.
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What cities would be affected by the San Andreas Fault?

The San Andreas runs deep near and under some of California's most populated areas. The cities of Desert Hot Springs, San Bernardino, Wrightwood, Palmdale, Gorman, Frazier Park, Daly City, Point Reyes Station and Bodega Bay rest on the San Andreas fault line.
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