How many times has groundhog been wrong?

According to the Stormfax Almanac, that works out to a 39% accuracy rate for Phil. In the near term, the groundhog's accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Phil has been right about 40% of the time on average over the past decade.
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Is the groundhog ever wrong?

NOAA compared Phil's predictions from the last 10 years to the actual weather from that year and found that Phil was only right 40% of the time. The last year Phil's prediction was right was in 2020, when he predicted an early spring. However, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club insists Phil has never been wrong.
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How many times has Punxsutawney Phil been replaced?

How many "Phils" have there been over the years? There has only been one Punxsutawney Phil. He has been making predictions since 1886! Punxsutawney Phil gets his longevity from drinking the "elixir of life," a secret recipe.
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Who is the most accurate groundhog?

The most accurate of all rodent prognosticators - General Beauregard Lee, widely considered the "Punxsutawney Phil of the South". Lee holds a 63% accuracy rating nationally, with a 70-80% accuracy rating for certain regions of the United States.
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How many times has the groundhog not seen his shadow?

In his many years of forecasting, the prognosticating groundhog has seen his shadow a total of 105 times and didn't see his shadow a total of 20 times, with 10 years where we have no record of his prediction.
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How many times has the groundhog been wrong?



How accurate has the groundhog been?

Data from the Stormfax Almanac's data shows that Phil's six-week prognostications have been correct about 39% of the time.
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What is Punxsutawney Phil's accuracy rate?

According to the Stormfax Almanac, that works out to a 39% accuracy rate for Phil. In the near term, the groundhog's accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Phil has been right about 40% of the time on average over the past decade.
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Is Punxsutawney Phil still alive?

How about a Wabbit? CORRECTION: Punxsutawney Phil is alive and well! The groundhog that died was the New Jersey version, known as Milltown Mel. No one knows when he slumbered off, but it was during his hibernation phase.
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When was the last time groundhog didn't see shadow?

In 2019, the 133rd year of the tradition, the groundhog was summoned to come out at 7:25 am on February 2, but did not see its shadow.
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Who is more accurate Buckeye Chuck or Punxsutawney Phil?

Buckeye Chuck doesn't have as long of a history as Punxsutawney Phil but over the past 15 years, Buckeye Chuck has been more accurate. Looking back on 15 years of winter climatology from the NOAA, Buckeye Chuck has been right eight times and Phil only six times.
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How many groundhogs have been used as Punxsutawney Phil?

Deeley declined to share how many groundhog Phil's there have been, but the average groundhog living in captivity can live up to 10 years, according to the University of Michigan's Museum of Zoology. That means that if each Punxsutawney Phil lived a decade, there have been about 13 groundhogs.
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How do they get Punxsutawney Phil out of his hole?

  1. On Groundhog Day, a bunch of men, wearing suits and top hats, pull a groundhog out of a hole in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.
  2. They then read a scroll the groundhog supposedly wrote, that states whether or not it saw its shadow.
  3. This determines if winter will last another six weeks, or if spring is coming soon.
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Is Punxsutawney Phil a girl?

The most famous groundhog in “the business” is Punxsutawney Phil in Pennsylvania. He's supposedly male, but he's also supposedly been around since the 19th century.
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Did Phil see his shadow 2021?

Punxsutawney Phil emerged to some falling snow on Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021, and saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter. Keep your fingers crossed, Phil has predicted an early spring two out of the last three years. Not surprisingly, that's been a rarity over the event's 136-year history.
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How accurate is the farmers almanac?

While there are various guides with their own predictions, The Old Farmer's Almanac has been around for 230 years and claims an 80% accuracy rate for its weather predictions. The forecasts are determined by combining solar science, weather patterns, and meteorology.
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How Old Is Phil the groundhog?

HOW OLD IS PHIL? According to Groundhog Club members, there has only been one Phil — and he has been predicting since 1887. That makes him 135 years old! The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club was established in 1887 by a group of groundhog hunters.
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Did the hog see his shadow 2022?

On Feb. 2, 2022, Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his tree stump with the help of his inner circle and saw his shadow -- predicting six more weeks of winter -- during a ceremony in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. PUNXSUTAWNEY, Pa.
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Did the groundhog see his shadow 2022 Louisiana?

Groundhog Day: Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow — and 3 in 5 Americans trust his prediction! NEW YORK (StudyFinds.org) – Winter lovers can rejoice as the legendary Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow on this Groundhog Day, which means spring won't be arriving early in 2022.
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Did the groundhog see his shadow 2022 Missouri?

Jimmy the Groundhog does not see his shadow in 2022!
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Did Milltown Mel see his shadow?

Last year, Milltown Mel did not see his shadow, and predicted an early spring. While Punxsutawney Phil is a more famous groundhog, Milltown Mel's handlers claim they have had a better record of predicting when spring will come. Incase you missed the coverage of me last night, here it is.
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What groundhog died yesterday?

Milltown Mel, one of New Jersey's weather-predicting groundhogs, died Sunday — just days before the big annual ceremony. His death was announced on the groundhog's official Facebook page.
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Where is Phil the groundhog kept?

Phil is a groundhog that lives in Punxsutawney. Each year on February 2, the City of Punxsutawney holds a special festival in honor of its famous furry forecaster.
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How accurate is Staten Island Chuck?

With an 85% accuracy rate, Staten Island Chuck has had the highest success rate in the entire country, although his predictions sometimes conflict with those of his rival, Pennsylvania prognosticator Punxsutawney Phil.
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What is the prediction for Groundhog Day 2022?

Groundhog Day 2022: Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter as massive storm threatens wide swath of U.S. Pennsylvania's most famous groundhog emerged from his burrow on a cold Wednesday morning and saw his shadow, declaring there would be six more weeks of winter.
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What year did Phil make his prediction at 25 degrees below zero?

1960 Saw Shadow at 7:33 AM, forecasts extremely bad weather; appearance on the "Today" show. 1961 Saw Shadow at 7:41 AM; 25 below zero.
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