How do they know if the groundhog sees his shadow?

On Groundhog Day, a bunch of men, wearing suits and top hats, pull a groundhog out of a hole in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. They then read a scroll the groundhog supposedly wrote, that states whether or not it saw its shadow. This determines if winter will last another six weeks, or if spring is coming soon.
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How does the groundhog know when to come out?

A groundhog's ability to divine the weather to come is based on whether or not he sees his shadow upon emerging from his dwelling. Clear skies bode ill for the weeks ahead as the groundhog will see his shadow and scurry back into his hovel meaning that there will be six more weeks of winter cold in store.
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Is the groundhog accurate?

In the near term, the groundhog's accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Phil has been right about 40% of the time on average over the past decade. Last year, Phil predicted more winter. According to NOAA, his forecast was about half right.
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How do they pick the groundhog for Groundhog Day?

Germans developed their own take on the legend, pronouncing the day sunny only if badgers and other small animals glimpsed their own shadows. When German immigrants settled Pennsylvania in the 18th and 19th centuries, they brought the custom with them, choosing the native groundhog as the annual forecaster.
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How many times has Punxsutawney Phil been correct?

NOAA compared Phil's predictions from the last 10 years to the actual weather from that year and found that Phil was only right 40% of the time. The last year Phil's prediction was right was in 2020, when he predicted an early spring. However, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club insists Phil has never been wrong.
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Groundhog Day: How do you know if Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow?



Who holds Punxsutawney Phil?

Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 136th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney on Wednesday, Feb. 2, 2022.
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Who is the most accurate groundhog?

The most accurate of all rodent prognosticators - General Beauregard Lee, widely considered the "Punxsutawney Phil of the South". Lee holds a 63% accuracy rating nationally, with a 70-80% accuracy rating for certain regions of the United States.
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How old is Punxsutawney Phil the groundhog?

HOW OLD IS PHIL? According to Groundhog Club members, there has only been one Phil — and he has been predicting since 1887. That makes him 135 years old! The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club was established in 1887 by a group of groundhog hunters.
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Did the Ohio groundhog see his shadow 2022?

Was the rodent wrong? On the morning of a predicted blizzard not unlike the one in the popular movie, "Groundhog Day," Ohio's own Buckeye Chuck did not see his shadow: Spring will come early, at least according to legend.
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What are the rules of Groundhog Day?

According to tradition, if a groundhog comes out of its hole on this day and sees its shadow, it gets scared and runs back into its burrow, predicting six more weeks of winter weather; no shadow means an early spring.
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How often is Punxsutawney Phil replaced?

There has only been one Punxsutawney Phil. He has been making predictions since 1886! Punxsutawney Phil gets his longevity from drinking the "elixir of life," a secret recipe. Phil takes one sip every summer at the Groundhog Picnic and it magically gives him seven more years of life.
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Did Phil see his shadow 2021?

Punxsutawney Phil emerged to some falling snow on Tuesday, Feb. 2, 2021, and saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter.
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Where is Phil the groundhog kept?

Punxsutawney Phil is a groundhog in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, who is the central figure in the borough's annual Groundhog Day celebration. On February 2 each year, Punxsutawney holds a civic festival with music and food.
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When was the last time groundhog didn't see shadow?

In 2019, the 133rd year of the tradition, the groundhog was summoned to come out at 7:25 am on February 2, but did not see its shadow.
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What happens if the groundhog doesn't come out?

The legend is simple. If the groundhog sees his shadow and retreats to his burrow, cold weather will persist into March. If he doesn't see his shadow, spring will begin.
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What did the groundhog say 2022?

Groundhog Day 2022: Punxsutawney Phil predicts 6 more weeks of winter as massive storm threatens wide swath of U.S. Pennsylvania's most famous groundhog emerged from his burrow on a cold Wednesday morning and saw his shadow, declaring there would be six more weeks of winter.
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Did the groundhog see his shadow 2021 in Ohio?

The Marion groundhog did not see his shadow during Wednesday's annual Groundhog Day celebration. Buckeye Chuck's prediction is the opposite as his friend in Pennsylvania, Punxsutawney Phil, who predicted a long winter.
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How accurate is the groundhog in groundhog's Day?

Data from the Stormfax Almanac's data shows that Phil's six-week prognostications have been correct about 39% of the time.
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Did the Tennessee groundhog see his shadow?

A replay of Phil's prediction can be found below!

Phil did see his shadow, meaning winter is here to stay! This marks the 107th time the seer of seers has seen his shadow since the tradition began in 1887. As Bill Murray once said, “Well, it's Groundhog Day…
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How many years does a groundhog live?

Wild groundhogs, also known as woodchucks, one average live four to five years, but can live up to six years. In captivity they can live ten or more years.
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Did Milltown Mel see his shadow?

Last year, Milltown Mel did not see his shadow, and predicted an early spring. While Punxsutawney Phil is a more famous groundhog, Milltown Mel's handlers claim they have had a better record of predicting when spring will come. Incase you missed the coverage of me last night, here it is.
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What is the average life expectancy of a groundhog?

Lifespan: In the wild, groundhogs can live up to six years with two or three being average. In captivity, groundhogs reportedly live up to 14 years. Breeding: Groundhogs tend to be solitary except in the spring when a litter of four to six young are born.
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Did the groundhog see its shadow today 2022?

Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow on Groundhog Day 2022

2, 2022, Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his tree stump with the help of his inner circle and saw his shadow -- predicting six more weeks of winter -- during a ceremony in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania.
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Did Phil see his shadow 2022 today?

Groundhog handler AJ Derume holds Punxsutawney Phil, who saw his shadow, predicting a late spring during the 136th annual Groundhog Day festivities on Wednesday in Punxsutawney.
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Did General Lee see his shadow?

Beauregard Lee did not see his shadow and, according to the legend, we will get an early spring. "He does looks sleepy," the emcee said as he quickly attempted to go back into his house. "He can't make up his mind." Georgia's groundhog lives at Dauset Trails Nature Center in Jackson.
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